It can be a little tricky to sift through the 40 riders of the most famous race in the world – the Aintree Grand National – but there are a few hard and fast rules that can help narrow the field to create a manageable list.
To do this, we analyzed data from the last 15 Grand Nationals to identify some key trends that are common to most of the winners of past years, so that they can be applied to this year’s field of activity.
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Okay, for starters, some fun and one for those who like to draw on the basis of colored silk.
Owner JP McManus won the race last year with minella hour and its familiar colors of green and gold would once again be worn by several riders, including the returning champion.
For all the Minions fans, look no further than Colin Tizzard. lost in translationwho wears yellow and blue in honor of co-owner Paul Taylor’s late son, Charlie, a big Minion fan.
Fans of West Ham, Aston Villa or Burnley might want to cheer for the color burgundy blue Escaria Ten Where Discord.
As for the color of the horse, Charlie Longsdon’s popular mare Snow Leopard will try to become the fifth gray horse to win a race in its 183-year history.
Let’s face it, we’ve all known someone who picked a winner just because they liked the name!
One For Arthur is the only winner of the last 15 renewals to share a common name, and this year’s options include: Run, Fred, Good boy Bobby, Top City Ben and Freewheel at Dylan’s.
Five of the last 15 winners featured a European phrase (Minella Times, Pineau De Re, Aurora Encore, Mon Mome and Ballabriggs – Balla means dance in Italian!), while three featured a space theme. the world and Neptune).
Money is a strong theme this year. two for gold, Dumb dollar and poker night everyone entered.
Jockey and trainer
Among those associated with the winner since 2006, still a licensed jockey, are Derek Fox (won in 2017), Ryan Mania (2013), Daryl Jacob (2012), Robbie Power (2007) and, of course, the man who came first on the Tiger Roll twice, Davy Russell.
Meanwhile, Rachel Blackmore arrives in top form from Cheltenham and will look to emulate Russell with back-to-back victories since her heroic win over the Minella Times 12 months ago.
As for coaching, many of them once achieved this feat and still hold a coaching license, including the all-female trio of Lucinda Russell (won it in 2017), Sue Smith (2013) and Venetia Williams (2009).
The Scottish Russell is represented this year mighty thunderwhile Polly Gundry takes care of former ace Nicky Henderson Santini and Emma Lavelle is training Rusher counter.
Nigel Twiston-Davies (1998 and 2002) and Gordon Elliott (2007, 2018 and 2019) are multiple national winners.
The Grand National has long been considered something of a lottery, but the recent history of the market shows that the task is not impossible.
Indeed, 15 of the last 24 winners have come out of the top eight stakes, which is a fair offset considering 38-40 runners each year. Ten of those winners were also 11/1 or under.
Cheltenham Festival Winner delta work (Gordon Elliott) got a lot of support after he denied his stablemate Tiger Roll a fabulous farewell in a cross-country chase.
Enjoy D’AllenThird place in last year’s Irish Grand National was taken by another beloved coach Ciarán Murphy.
In terms of form, it’s worth checking the rider’s form figures on the race card as 13 of the last 15 national winners have finished in the top two in their last three runs – the same number that finished in the top six in their last outing.
Match preparation this season has also proved important, with 14 of the last 15 winners having three to seven runs at the start of the campaign.
Ted Walsh any second nowwho finished third in the Grand National last year, had three outings this season, defeating Escaria Ten in the Bobbijo chase at the Fairyhouse for the last time.
Six of the last 15 winners since 2006 have come to Aintree via Cheltenham, a route taken this year by the likes of Isisland, Brahma Bull, Mount Ida and Noble Yeats.
age and weight
When it comes to choosing the right age horse to win this endurance event, history tells us that it’s best to combine youth and experience.
Preference is given to horses between the ages of eight and 11, with this group counted for every national winner since 2005, resulting in six- and seven-year-old horses not winning on 36 attempts.
Elliott is seven years old Coco Beach12 years Anibale Muha (Tony Martin) and a 13-year-old veteran Blacklion (Dan Skelton) will try to reverse this trend.
With a four and a quarter mile marathon ahead, it’s easy to see why every pound in the saddle counts.
However, records show that all 69 runners have hit 11th at 7lbs or above since 1997, with only Many Clouds doing well in 2015, hitting 11th at 9lbs.
This poses a tough question for 2021 champion Minella Times (11th at 10lbs) and Delta Work (11th at 9lbs).